Page:Popular Science Monthly Volume 13.djvu/487

Rh But here the reasoning is really this:

Inductive or synthetic reasoning, being something more than the mere application of a general rule to a particular case, can never be reduced to this form.

If, from a bag of beans of which we know that are white, we take one at random, it is a deductive inference that this bean is probably white, the probability being. We have, in effect, the following syllogism:

If instead of drawing one bean we draw a handful at random and conclude that about of the handful are probably white, the reasoning is of the same sort. If, however, not knowing what proportion of white beans there are in the bag, we draw a handful at random and, finding of the beans in the handful white, conclude that about  of those in the bag are white, we are rowing up the current of deductive sequence, and are concluding a rule from the observation of a result in a certain case. This is particularly clear when all the handful turn out one color. The induction then is:

So that induction is the inference of the rule from the case and result.

But this is not the only way of inverting a deductive syllogism so as to produce a synthetic inference. Suppose I enter a room and there find a number of bags, containing different kinds of beans. On the table there is a handful of white beans; and, after some searching, I find one of the bags contains white beans only. I at once infer as a