Page:Philosophical Transactions - Volume 053.djvu/436

 quodque olum, certa nitri igna præbere, ed plura concurrere debere, ut de vero nitro producto dubium non relinquatur.

Dear Sir,

Read Dec. 23, 1763

Now end you an eay which I have found among the papers of our deceaed friend Mr. Bayes, and which, in my opinion, has great merit, and well deerves to be preerved. Experimental philoophy, you will find, is nearly intereted in the ubject of it; and on this account there eems to be particular reaon for thinking that a communication of it to the Royal Society cannot be improper.

He had, you know, the honour of being a member of that illutrious Society, and was much eteemed by many in it as a very able mathematician. In an introduction which he has writ to this Eay, he ays, that his deign at firt in thinking on the ubject of it was, to find out a method by which we might judge concerning the probability that an event has to happen, in given circumtances, upon uppofition that we know nothing concerning it but that, under the ame