Page:CIAdeceptionMaximsFactFolklore 1980.pdf/47

C00036554 intentions of invading the continent. Take no notice, as these provocations are intended to create among you manifestations and disorders which the Germans will use as an excuse for repressive measures against you. Be disciplined, use discretion, and maintain order, foe when the time comes for action you will be advised in advance.

thus leaving it to the Germans to decide the significance of the message and the possibility it might be a clever ruse while ensuring that the resistance leaders had no basis for action whatever inference they drew vis-a-vis the imminence of invasion.

Another example of the Monkey's Paw phenomenon concerns the unanticipated consequences of an otherwise successful German use of decoy V-2 sites. As recounted by Jones (54):

Here the Germans, perhaps following their experience of our bombing of their V-1 sites, sought to decoy us with spoof sites for their V-2 rockets. Actually, we had a very incomplete picture of their rocket organization in France, until we landed on D-Day and afterwards captured a map showing the deployment of the rocket organization west of the Seine. This included not only the actual storage sites with legends bearing their actual capacities, but also the spoof sites as well. These were individually numbered from 15 to 20, running east to west. It was therefore a fair inference that there were 14 spoof sites east of the Seine, and it was reasonable to assume that German thoroughness would have decided on a fixed ratio of spoof sites per rocket stored on a genuine site. on this assumption, it was possible to