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C00036554 FIGURE 4: DECEPTION, CRY-WOLF SYNDROME AND SURPRISE: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IN SUPPORT OF FOLKLORE

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Method of Computation Reference: Kendall, M.C and Stuart, A., The Advanced Theory of Statistics, Vol.2, Mafner, New York (1961), p.580 et. seq.

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 * Deception is strongly associated with surprise. When deception was employed, surprise resulted in 93% of the cases; whereas, when deception was not used, surprise resulted in only about one-third of the cases.
 * "Cry-Wolf" is likewise associated with surprise, though differences are less dramatic.
 * The data are consistent with, but fall short of provinq, the hypothesis that deception and prior desensitization lead to even greater chances of surprise.