Page:A short history of astronomy(1898).djvu/240

184 results of which could be compared with observation. The places of Mars as seen on the sky being a combined result of the motions of Mars and of the earth in their respective orbits round the sun, the irregularities of the two orbits were apparently inextricably mixed up, and a great simplification was accordingly effected when Kepler succeeded, by an ingenious combination of observations taken at suitable times, in disentangling the irregularities due to the earth from those due to the motion of Mars itself, and thus rendering it possible to concentrate his attention on the latter. His fertile imagination suggested hypothesis after hypothesis, combination after combination of eccentric, epicycle, and equant; he calculated the results of each and compared them rigorously with observation; and at one stage he arrived at a geometrical scheme which was capable of representing the observations with errors not exceeding 8'. A man of less intellectual honesty, or less convinced of the necessity of subordinating theory to fact when the two conflict, might have rested content with this degree of accuracy, or might have supposed Tycho's refractory observations to be in error. Kepler, however, thought otherwise:—

"Since the divine goodness has given to us in Tycho Brahe a most careful observer, from whose observations the error of 8' is shewn in this calculation, . . . it is right that we should with gratitude recognise and make use of this gift of God. . . . For if I could have treated 8' of longitude as negligible I should have already corrected sufficiently the hypothesis . . . discovered in chapter . But as they could not be neglected, these 8' alone have led the way towards the complete reformation of astronomy, and have been made the subject-matter of a great part of this work."

140. He accordingly started afresh, and after trying a variety of other combinations of circles decided that the path of Mars must be an oval of some kind. At first he was inclined to believe in an egg-shaped oval, larger at one end than at the other, but soon had to abandon this idea. Finally